Keep Calm and Don't Move Your Stops.....

A little risk management saves a lot of fan cleaning!

The Purpose of Life is Joy!!

Monday, December 12, 2016

+.50%. &.....+.50%......1.0% for the week

Lets think about this for a minute. I'm down around 5% over the last month. That's more than I want to see gone in a single month. But the truth is, its worse than it should have been had I reduced size quicker and better than what it probably would have been had I not simply stopped trading when I reached -1.0% for the day.

I've reduced size to a single lot going forward with a max risk per trade of .25%. However, today's actual risk was .125%. I held for 3X on this and ended the day with .50% return on capital. There was a few more ticks to be had on that trade but the planned exit worked well for me.

Honestly, the reduced size and the tiny risk made holding the trade much easier. Granted it wasn't a 100 tick win but I don't care. If I replicate this day over and over again, soon I will have regained all of the draw down and back toward building the account. That's all I care about at this point. Just slow steady returns over time and increase size when I'm comfortable with the increased risk.

A half percent per day is 10% per month. Assuming only ten months of the year traded that is 100% return over the year. Not bad for barely risking anything. I need to keep this in mind every day. Tiny risk, hold for at least a 3X multiple of risk and be satisfied with the baby steps. Occasionally conditions will present themselves where a 100 tick win is probable. I'll try to take those but honestly, I'll probably miss those. I'm not geared to look for those very often. They happen every week but my brain isn't wired like that for now.

I think I'm just going to be happy banging out .5 and 1.0% days for a while.



EDIT: 12:00 NOON. AZ TIME. There was a 100 tick move that began around 8AM my time. I'd left the office by then. Had I been here, I doubt I would have seen this developing and even if I had, I'm not sure I would have or could have taken it due to risk....might have had to look at a very small time frame to make this happen. Any way, here it is.


EDIT: 3:30 AZ TIME. After my last post, I started noticing the order flow was still quite active so I decided to see if there was any more left in the tank. I've also noticed near the close of the day, price tends to put in some large bars one way or the other. So I took a small risk, less than .125% was stopped out to the tick. I waited for another pull back, got in near the top of the pull back and rode it for enough to cover the stop out plus 3X on the current risk. Net for the day. 1.0% 





5 comments:

  1. By ANY metric, this is excellent trading. Trading small and building the day. The percent gain is bad metric to keep note of, how about RR tracking ONLY.

    Keep doing this.

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    Replies
    1. Thanks...RR is probably the correct metric to use. Perhaps use % gains on a weekly basis. Just to keep track of where I stand MTD and YTD.

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  2. So you don't believe that the market action itself sets the risk?

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  3. Brian can add his thoughts, but I dont. All markets are risky, at all times. If the stop needs to be 50ticks instead of 10ticks one changes position size to risk same.

    it works in every scenario and every market.

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  4. The market dictates the risk in terms of ticks. You determine your risk in terms of dollars. If the tick risk is to high for normal size, reduce size or pass on the trade. Another way is to simply leave size as is and place the stop to maintain the dollar risk. This can work sometimes but does create emotional and mechanical fragility. As long as you accept this fact, you can put your stop anywhere you like knowing its incorrect. This is why Trader Dante says to place your entry as close to the point where you know you are wrong as possible.

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